Page 26 - Economic Outlook Romania 2019
P. 26

CE4: Hiding behind flat Phillips curves






         Phillips curve broken across CEE; the                              Significant untapped labour supply in
         strongest FX pass-through in Romania                               Romania, but structural policies missing


           14
                  The significance of                                       18.0

           12     variables (t-Statistics)                                                           Underemployed part-time
                  explaining core HICP in CEE economies                                              workers

           10                                                               15.0                     Seeking work but not
                                                                                                     immediately available
            8
                                                                            12.0                     Available to work but not

            6                                                                                        seeking
                                                                                                     Unemployment
            4                                                                9.0


            2
                                                                             6.0
            0

           -2                                                                3.0


           -4
                 Eurozone         ULC         Brent           FX             0.0
                    Core                                                           Euro area    Czech    Hungary     Poland Romania
                                                                                              Republic
                 Poland     Hungary       Romania       Czech Rep.




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